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Prediction markets for Lending

Will any foreign national lend Trump money for any of his civil judgements before the general election?

Mar 6, 9:07 PMNov 13, 4:59 AM

31.85%chance

8451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

149

Will Miriam Adelson lend Trump money for the purposes of paying any of his civil judgements before the general election?

Mar 6, 6:20 PMNov 13, 4:59 AM

16.22%chance

3328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

57

Lending manas to my brother

Aug 21, 7:50 PMAug 21, 9:59 PM

00

What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?

Jan 22, 7:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9312411

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

54.69%chance

12172506035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11825

9403

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030

Apr 8, 4:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

97%chance

149559419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7159

1294

Will AI progress surprise Metaculus?

Feb 26, 6:31 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

80.11%chance

13339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

936

Will the total value locked in DeFi protocols surpass $300 billion by the end of 2024?

Jun 10, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

19.68%chance

51058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2020

495

Will Donald Trump use his Trump Media shares before the end of the lockup period?

Mar 24, 10:22 PMSep 26, 4:59 AM

53%chance

382267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

821

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

19.58%chance

20674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

796

Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory?

Nov 24, 5:25 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.58%chance

16487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

919

Will the U.S. Federal Reserve decrease the federal funds rate below 5% by the end of 2024?

Jan 11, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.06%chance

15583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

832

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