Leaders News

Will Basil Zempilas become the leader of the Liberal Party before the next state election?

Jun 21, 7:48 PMMar 8, 3:59 PM

50.48%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

10097

9904

(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?

Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5055650

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

Jun 10, 11:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.22%chance

366592

OptionVotes

YES

1500

667

[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

13.07%chance

968151

OptionVotes

YES

1480

1094

Who will be the next paramount leader of China?

Mar 2, 5:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10184

Will Yulia Navalnaya be leader of Russia? 🇷🇺🎤👩🏼‍🦰

Feb 19, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.61%chance

19935

OptionVotes

YES

994

721

Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?

Nov 30, 5:15 PMJan 20, 8:00 AM

96.1%chance

15741589

OptionVotes

YES

10038

1035

Will China have a female leader before 2060?

Mar 30, 10:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.54%chance

12706

OptionVotes

YES

1016

981

Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?

Dec 30, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

16.72%chance

451683

OptionVotes

YES

1627

1174

Will Israel capture or kill Yahya Sinwar, a Hamas leader, by September 1, 2024?

Jan 24, 1:38 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

53.83%chance

282756

OptionVotes

YES

1379

617

Xi Jinping is the highest leader of China in 2036

Jan 24, 10:19 PMJul 2, 6:59 AM

29.7%chance

14228

OptionVotes

YES

1005

948

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

May 23, 1:18 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

73.5%chance

494207

OptionVotes

YES

1666

600

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Leaders News

Prediction markets for Leaders

Prediction markets for Leaders

Prediction markets for Leaders

Will Basil Zempilas become the leader of the Liberal Party before the next state election?

(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Who will be the next paramount leader of China?

Will Yulia Navalnaya be leader of Russia? 🇷🇺🎤👩🏼‍🦰

Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?

Will China have a female leader before 2060?

Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?

Will Israel capture or kill Yahya Sinwar, a Hamas leader, by September 1, 2024?

Xi Jinping is the highest leader of China in 2036

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Leaders

Prediction markets for Leaders

Prediction markets for Leaders

Will Basil Zempilas become the leader of the Liberal Party before the next state election?

(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Who will be the next paramount leader of China?

Will Yulia Navalnaya be leader of Russia? 🇷🇺🎤👩🏼‍🦰

Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?