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Top stories

PM Modi Stresses Ethical AI at Global IndiaAI Summit on July 3rd and 4th
Authors
4
2 days
India
AI
World
UCLA Research Uncovers Irregularities in LLMs' Decision Boundaries
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5
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Enhancements in Large Language Models with AI Agents to Optimize Interface
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Researchers Explore Enhancing Mathematical Reasoning in Large Language Models with Semantic Structure-Mapping and Image-based Reasoning
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6 days
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Llama 2 and PlanRAG: Large Language Models Revolutionize AI with Text Generation and Code Completion
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8 days
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AI Advancements: Together AI Introduces MoA Framework, Companies Utilize LLMs for Efficiency Gains, Wandbot Boosts Correctness and Reduces Latency
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11 days
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Research Reveals How Large Language Models (LLMs) Acquire Factual Knowledge in Pretraining
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12 days
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New Algorithms DiscoPOP and ORPO Enhance AI Training and Preference Optimization with LLMs
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Google Introduces Test of Time Benchmark for Evaluating Large Language Models
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Prediction markets for Large Language Models

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

43.89%chance

714302173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

22056

17095

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

43.67%chance

1013397392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4924

3822

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

6823983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26232

3281

Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?

Jan 12, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

23842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

958

Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?

Jul 11, 7:39 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.47%chance

555082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1412

806

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Apr 18, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

24.95%chance

473414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

926

Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?

Dec 18, 3:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.96%chance

17440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

944

Will the US or China enact a moratorium of any kind on the training of large language models by the end 2024?

Mar 30, 2:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.4%chance

30863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

956

Will there be an accusation of a large language model being used for disinformation during the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jan 20, 1:46 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

80.1%chance

13326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1082

966

3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common.

Dec 25, 1:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.62%chance

441315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

857

Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Jan 6, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.13%chance

25886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

968

Will any product built using a large language model receive FDA clearance by the end of 2024?

Nov 9, 10:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

10378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

970

Articles

Latest stories

PM Modi Stresses Ethical AI at Global IndiaAI Summit on July 3rd and 4th
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Stanford HAI Experts Debunk Sentience Claim of Large Language Models, Highlighting Golden Gate Claude
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Large Language Models Transforming AI Capabilities, Raise Concerns About Human Cognitive Decline Due to Various Tasks
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Meta's Yann LeCun: FAIR Shifts Focus to 'World Modeling' for LLMs and AI Development
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New Study Examines Impact of Fine-Tuning LLMs on Hallucinations in AI Development
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Stack Overflow, OpenAI Partner Using OverflowAPI, New Tools by June
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Open-source Prometheus 2 Revolutionizes LLM Evaluation, Challenges Traditional Models with Transparency
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