Language Model Models News

EasyTranslate Enhances Translation Services with HumanAI and LLMs to Surpass AI Rivals
Authors
7
9 days
AI
Business
Tech

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

50%chance

1038403129

OptionVotes

YES

4340

4336

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

43.11%chance

714302497

OptionVotes

YES

21793

17437

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

May 1, 9:58 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

36.6%chance

613184005

OptionVotes

YES

18277

10164

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

6823983

OptionVotes

YES

26232

3281

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Feb 22, 8:27 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.27%chance

19740224

OptionVotes

YES

6786

484

Algebraic value editing works better for larger language models, all else equal

Apr 2, 3:08 PMJul 29, 1:50 PM

48.16%chance

271532

OptionVotes

YES

1484

1474

Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?

May 18, 5:33 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

84%chance

17718274

OptionVotes

YES

2327

1393

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Oct 27, 3:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.77%chance

493219

OptionVotes

YES

2015

1196

Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?

Jan 12, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

23842

OptionVotes

YES

1034

958

Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?

Jul 11, 7:39 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.22%chance

565182

OptionVotes

YES

1509

725

Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?

Apr 8, 6:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.64%chance

546105

OptionVotes

YES

2396

810

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Apr 18, 4:09 PMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

24.95%chance

473414

OptionVotes

YES

1111

926

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Language Model Models News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Language Model Models

Prediction markets for Language Model Models

Prediction markets for Language Model Models

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024

Algebraic value editing works better for larger language models, all else equal

Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?

Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?

Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?

Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Language Model Models

Prediction markets for Language Model Models

Prediction markets for Language Model Models

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2024