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Prediction markets for L3

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.68%chance

877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

137

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2033?

Jun 1, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70%chance

356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

95

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2036?

Jun 1, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73%chance

266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

73

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51%chance

217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

87

Will most self-driving cars in 2029 use LIDAR?

Nov 2, 7:43 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

26.03%chance

798420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

842

Manifold does FIRE - will I (@riggy) retire before the end of year X?

Apr 12, 2:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7221

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