KILL News

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Jun 3, 2:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.98%chance

3814288

OptionVotes

YES

14526

7010

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Sep 2, 8:54 AMSep 9, 10:59 PM

31.64%chance

517591

OptionVotes

YES

1371

658

Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?

Feb 20, 6:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.51%chance

13295428

OptionVotes

YES

3500

1704

Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?

Mar 24, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14%chance

6521839

OptionVotes

YES

2162

906

In the first event when AI kills at least 1,000 people, how many people will be killed?

Jun 6, 8:26 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

215136

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Jan 8, 9:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.32%chance

6439

OptionVotes

YES

549

103

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Jul 21, 12:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

29.59%chance

133446

OptionVotes

YES

1439

724

Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?

Jul 2, 10:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

66.71%chance

11547

OptionVotes

YES

1059

958

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

Aug 8, 8:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.65%chance

23985

OptionVotes

YES

1595

1306

Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?

Apr 5, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.6%chance

452518

OptionVotes

YES

1171

863

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 50% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Jun 3, 9:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.03%chance

667624

OptionVotes

YES

1564

640

Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?

Aug 19, 2:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.13%chance

10914113

OptionVotes

YES

1328

708

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KILL News

Prediction markets for KILL

Prediction markets for KILL

Prediction markets for KILL

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?

Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?

In the first event when AI kills at least 1,000 people, how many people will be killed?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 50% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for KILL

Prediction markets for KILL

Prediction markets for KILL

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?

Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?

In the first event when AI kills at least 1,000 people, how many people will be killed?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?