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Karma News
Prediction markets for Karma
Prediction markets for Karma
By the end of 2024, will at least one >50 karma LW post be revealed to have been mostly written by AI?
Nov 24, 6:50 PM
Jan 1, 8:42 AM
52.83%
chance
14
212
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1027
971
What % of alignment forum karma will be pro-interpetability vs anti this year?
Sep 13, 4:18 PM
Sep 13, 9:59 PM
75.06%
chance
14
822
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1092
952
By the end of 2024, will at least one >100 karma LW post be revealed to have been mostly written by AI?
Nov 24, 6:50 PM
Jan 1, 8:42 AM
19.11%
chance
17
457
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1240
904
Will Manifold implement a karma system for comments in 2024?
Mar 17, 6:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
23.74%
chance
7
175
Option
Votes
YES
NO
329
192
Will "A report about LessWrong karma volatility fro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Apr 2, 4:02 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
6.23%
chance
5
187
Option
Votes
YES
NO
317
166
Will Meta's Threads have a karma system similar to reddit by 2030?
Jul 6, 6:42 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
37.15%
chance
5
123
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Will a >100 karma LW post claim "How to Catch a Liar" suffers from similar problems to CCS?
Jan 15, 6:00 PM
Jan 23, 7:59 AM
31%
chance
5
144
Option
Votes
YES
NO
155
111
Will a Karma System be successful on Manifold, if implemented?
Mar 17, 6:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
57.59%
chance
7
250
Option
Votes
YES
NO
191
115
How much karma will my LessWrong post about affective gender identity in gay men get?
Feb 12, 2:57 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
38.11%
chance
3
26
Option
Votes
NO
YES
321
292
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024?
Mar 1, 7:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:40 AM
127
349679
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)
Apr 4, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
502
What will be the problem/feature that brings down users activity the most in 2024? (According to poll)
Mar 2, 2:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2
30
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