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Just The News News
Prediction markets for Just The News
Prediction markets for Just The News
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024?
Mar 1, 7:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:40 AM
127
349679
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)
Apr 4, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
502
Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?
Mar 21, 11:45 AM
Jul 15, 4:59 AM
4.64%
chance
26
55212
Option
Votes
YES
NO
74453
15607
Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?
Jun 2, 2:18 AM
Oct 1, 6:59 AM
75.68%
chance
12
7801
Option
Votes
NO
YES
17463
5859
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68
16249
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
169983
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Which ACX Grants 2024 impact certs will meet their minimum funding on Manifund?
Mar 13, 10:19 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
2
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024, according to Manifold users?
Apr 4, 4:43 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21
4779
What will be the main theme of the biggest highly-interactive reflective e-celebrity AI by 2028?
Feb 18, 11:59 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
9
211
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GOP Pushes Biden Crime Family Probe, January 6th Transparency
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