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Prediction markets for Just Society
Prediction markets for Just Society
Will Bryan Caplan be satisfied with the state of the George Mason Just Societies situation on Dec 1st 2024?
Apr 2, 12:33 AM
Dec 2, 7:59 AM
31.63%
chance
5
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
240
141
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
198
80091
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
49
8156
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?
May 24, 8:48 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
13
6002
What will be true about Trump's running mate / Vice President pick?
Jan 10, 6:58 PM
Jul 31, 3:59 AM
256
40692
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses!
May 22, 9:35 PM
Jul 7, 8:16 PM
133
60885
In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the decline in testosterone levels over the past few decades?
Aug 19, 11:02 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
5
190
Will there be a steep decrease of world human population during the year 2030, and for which reason?
Nov 22, 9:06 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
7
784
Which elite global achievers will join manifold? Nobel prize, Nebula, Pope, EGOT, Pulitzer? 50+ Y/N options, research op
Dec 1, 5:39 PM
Jul 1, 4:59 AM
19
2655
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3794
Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:26 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
52.42%
chance
42
1449
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1133
839
Articles
Latest stories
Kirk Cameron and Brave Books Launch 'Adventures with Iggy and Mr. Kirk' to Counter Cultural Indoctrination
Authors
4
4 months
Culture
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