Judgement Free News

Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?

Apr 10, 6:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.11%chance

818673

OptionVotes

YES

1512

1332

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

4111506

OptionVotes

YES

974

467

Will Infowars go down?

Jan 18, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.47%chance

549827

OptionVotes

YES

1084

916

Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?

Feb 1, 3:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

383793

OptionVotes

YES

1050

823

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.43%chance

351259

OptionVotes

YES

1246

894

By 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:34 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38.62%chance

325669

OptionVotes

YES

1063

844

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

43.1%chance

221004

OptionVotes

YES

1046

947

Will arxiv be credibly accused of political censorship in 2023, 2024, or 2025?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.75%chance

10192

OptionVotes

YES

1052

967

Will Roe v. Wade be federally codified by 2032-05-06?

May 7, 2:13 AMMay 7, 2:10 AM

25.26%chance

16262

OptionVotes

YES

1067

967

Will the most popular alcoholic drinks not cause hangovers in 2035?

Mar 15, 11:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26.02%chance

12424

OptionVotes

YES

1157

922

Will a top-100 chess player accuse another top-100 player of cheating at chess using a brain chip by EOY 2034 ?

Apr 20, 6:12 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

33.4%chance

10413

OptionVotes

YES

995

910

Was Russia using Starlink on the Ukraine front line?

Feb 14, 12:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.48%chance

12353

OptionVotes

YES

1088

962

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Judgement Free News

Prediction markets for Judgement Free

Prediction markets for Judgement Free

Prediction markets for Judgement Free

Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Will Infowars go down?

Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

By 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?

Will arxiv be credibly accused of political censorship in 2023, 2024, or 2025?

Will Roe v. Wade be federally codified by 2032-05-06?

Will the most popular alcoholic drinks not cause hangovers in 2035?

Will a top-100 chess player accuse another top-100 player of cheating at chess using a brain chip by EOY 2034 ?

Was Russia using Starlink on the Ukraine front line?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Judgement Free

Prediction markets for Judgement Free

Prediction markets for Judgement Free

Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Will Infowars go down?

Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

By 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?