It News

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Mar 10, 3:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

14555668

OptionVotes

YES

11808

10428

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by April 23, 2025?

Apr 30, 6:49 PMApr 24, 4:59 AM

41.41%chance

293443

OptionVotes

YES

20723

16106

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.82%chance

69126413

OptionVotes

YES

1421

1384

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

62.41%chance

766474

OptionVotes

YES

13957

8750

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.11%chance

4914888

OptionVotes

YES

13524

7471

Will Tesla prevail in its suit against Matthews International over battery trade secrets?

Jun 18, 6:15 PMJun 18, 6:59 AM

44.51%chance

61887

OptionVotes

YES

11165

8957

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

64.07%chance

14510865

OptionVotes

YES

10119

9758

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?

Jun 2, 2:18 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

75.68%chance

127801

OptionVotes

YES

17463

5859

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.2%chance

5851

OptionVotes

YES

10357

9737

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.36%chance

519543

OptionVotes

YES

10134

9353

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

Jan 2, 8:47 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

69.11%chance

101311

OptionVotes

YES

10339

9022

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It News

Prediction markets for It

Prediction markets for It

Prediction markets for It

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by April 23, 2025?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will Tesla prevail in its suit against Matthews International over battery trade secrets?

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for It

Prediction markets for It

Prediction markets for It

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by April 23, 2025?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will Tesla prevail in its suit against Matthews International over battery trade secrets?

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?