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Prediction markets for Isolated Markets
Prediction markets for Isolated Markets
What will be the next program to be added to GiveWell's top charities list?
Apr 5, 7:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
10
443
Will any Elon Musk companies ban iPhone usage on premises by June 2025?
Jun 11, 8:43 AM
Jun 2, 3:59 AM
15.24%
chance
19
2323
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2358
424
Will Israel deploy its Iron Beam defense technology before 2025?
Dec 12, 7:55 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.38%
chance
44
2479
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1784
300
Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation?
Dec 5, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
35.14%
chance
72
14179
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1420
161
Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently
Apr 5, 2:04 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
75.15%
chance
49
4805
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1361
777
Will the United States be using the metric system by the end of 2035?
Oct 19, 12:42 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
4.66%
chance
28
3498
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2624
797
Will the Mountain Hare, a.k.a. Snow Hare (Lepus timidus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 29, 9:30 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
14.39%
chance
4
251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
430
85
What will scientists cite as the primary causes of 2024's global temperature? [READ DESCRIPTION]
Jan 12, 7:16 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
23
1195
Will China introduce penalties for married couples without children by 2030?
Mar 15, 2:51 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
20.77%
chance
7
205
Option
Votes
YES
NO
425
156
Detroit LVT: Will average urban density increase? (2028)
Oct 13, 3:55 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
74%
chance
8
210
Option
Votes
NO
YES
181
156
Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?
Jun 5, 10:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
56.97%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
73
Articles
Latest stories
dYdX Launches Chain v5.0.0 with Isolated Markets and Raydium Integration
Authors
5
15 days
Crypto
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