Iranians News

Will an Iranian nuclear facility be bombed by 2025?

Dec 4, 8:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.47%chance

291199

OptionVotes

YES

1079

752

will Israel attack Iranian this year?

Jan 13, 9:00 PMDec 31, 8:29 PM

78.2%chance

17848

OptionVotes

YES

1134

878

Will the cause of the Iranian helicopter crash containing the president be revealed to be sabotage?

May 19, 3:22 PMOct 20, 6:59 AM

7.71%chance

8012480

OptionVotes

YES

3461

289

Will Jordan shoot down any more Iranian weapons or aircraft this year?

Apr 14, 3:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.49%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

261

158

Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Aug 31, 4:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.94%chance

273

OptionVotes

YES

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by July 20 2024?

Oct 12, 9:47 PMJul 21, 4:59 AM

29.48%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will any Iranian citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election?

Jan 19, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.92%chance

8124

OptionVotes

YES

187

128

Will an Iranian naval asset be sunk by hostile action in 2024?

Jan 29, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by December 20 2024?

Oct 12, 9:48 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

39.79%chance

437

OptionVotes

YES

122

100

MemeFold Financial: Which strange, high risk investment will yield the greatest return by EOY? [COMMENT IDEAS]

May 18, 4:01 PMJan 18, 4:59 AM

6034246

Is OpenAI building a search engine?

May 23, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.59%chance

13139368

OptionVotes

YES

7688

3691

WhiteBox Research will get at least one fellow accepted into a ≥0.5 FTE AI safety research fellowship by EoY 2024.

Jun 20, 12:06 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.5%chance

153

OptionVotes

YES

1051

951

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Iranians News

Prediction markets for Iranians

Prediction markets for Iranians

Prediction markets for Iranians

Will an Iranian nuclear facility be bombed by 2025?

will Israel attack Iranian this year?

Will the cause of the Iranian helicopter crash containing the president be revealed to be sabotage?

Will Jordan shoot down any more Iranian weapons or aircraft this year?

Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by July 20 2024?

Will any Iranian citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election?

Will an Iranian naval asset be sunk by hostile action in 2024?

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by December 20 2024?

MemeFold Financial: Which strange, high risk investment will yield the greatest return by EOY? [COMMENT IDEAS]

Is OpenAI building a search engine?

WhiteBox Research will get at least one fellow accepted into a ≥0.5 FTE AI safety research fellowship by EoY 2024.

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Iranians

Prediction markets for Iranians

Prediction markets for Iranians

Will an Iranian nuclear facility be bombed by 2025?

will Israel attack Iranian this year?

Will the cause of the Iranian helicopter crash containing the president be revealed to be sabotage?

Will Jordan shoot down any more Iranian weapons or aircraft this year?

Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by July 20 2024?

Will any Iranian citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election?