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Instruct News
Prediction markets for Instruct
Prediction markets for Instruct
Will US regulators instruct Manifold to alter or cease activity before the end of 2024?
Aug 5, 8:02 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9%
chance
64
6612
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3262
1441
Will Special Counsel Jack Smith seek mandamus regarding Judge Cannon's jury instructions in the Trump documents case?
Apr 4, 10:26 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
25.4%
chance
10
1174
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1068
896
Will a multimodal LLM be able to generate instructions for origami crafts by 2030?
Aug 29, 12:48 PM
Sep 5, 9:59 PM
83%
chance
6
231
Option
Votes
NO
YES
339
180
Can soft-prompting improve LLAMA-LM more than instruction fine-tuning, and chain-of-thought?
Mar 9, 11:17 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
47.99%
chance
3
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
365
314
What instruction set architecture will have the plurality of desktop CPU sales in 2034?
Nov 14, 2:08 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
16
594
Will NYSED permit nonpublic schools to deliver instruction in a language other than English?
Dec 21, 12:59 AM
Sep 3, 3:59 AM
32.13%
chance
10
114
Option
Votes
YES
NO
220
170
Will Chat GPT 5 be able to create accurate instructions for an origami crane at least 50% of the time I ask it?
Mar 20, 6:29 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
91.27%
chance
7
307
Option
Votes
NO
YES
485
169
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
199
80391
What is the best definition of AGI? (add your own)
Mar 3, 11:48 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36
1391
What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
Jan 22, 7:24 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
93
12411
How will Emily Freitag judge her 2024 predictions for U.S. K-12 education?
Jan 9, 10:47 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
2
11
What do you think will be GPT-5's "hook"?
Nov 10, 4:10 PM
Jan 2, 9:50 AM
39
1675
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Authors
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20 days
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Authors
19
3 months
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Authors
4
5 months
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Authors
5
5 months
AI
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Authors
5
5 months
AI
Tech
AI Community Buzzing Over CodeLlama-70B & SQLCoder-70B Releases
Authors
7
5 months
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Intel and Hugging Face's Extension for Transformers Enables Efficient Running of Mixtral-8-7B, Phi-2, Mistral, Llama-based models, and MLX-examples on Intel Platforms and Macs
Authors
4
6 months
AI
Tech
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