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In the Know News
Prediction markets for In the Know
Prediction markets for In the Know
In the 2024 LessWrong survey, what percentage of respondents will know how to make a dialogue?
Feb 18, 1:39 AM
Mar 2, 7:59 AM
2
30
Will we know by end of 2024 who/what’s behind the chemical weapon attack on the Swedish secret police in february
Feb 28, 3:42 PM
Jan 2, 10:59 PM
6
150
Will we know the neutrino mass ordering in 2035?
Jun 28, 6:10 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
72.01%
chance
3
36
Option
Votes
NO
YES
122
70
For typical SOTA AI systems in 2028, will it be possible for users to know the true reasons for systems making a choice?
Jan 5, 10:30 AM
28
0
Will we know interdimensional UFOs are real before 2026?
Jan 17, 3:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2.83%
chance
17
4557
Option
Votes
NO
YES
967
864
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170530
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293198
Bay Area Bingo: what will I experience/encounter while living here for two months?
Jun 14, 10:48 PM
Aug 18, 6:59 AM
40
9725
Which songs will be covered for Joker: Folie à Deux?
Mar 22, 10:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18
2207
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3794
Suggest features.
Feb 22, 2:30 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
81
14560
What is Extropic AI's first product?
Apr 28, 3:24 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12
307
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Peacock Releases Trailer for 'Apples Never Fall' Series Starring Annette Bening and Sam Neill, Launches 'In the Know' Starring Zach Woods
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Mike Judge's 'In the Know' Stop-Motion Comedy to Premiere on Peacock on January 25th
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4
6 months
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