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Prediction markets for Humanitarian
Prediction markets for Humanitarian
Will the US humanitarian aid pier in the Mediterranean be attacked?
Mar 8, 3:29 AM
Jan 21, 4:59 AM
44.8%
chance
11
400
Option
Votes
NO
YES
274
231
Will Israel follow ICJ's 26 Jan non-binding ruling (to prevent genocide acts and improve humanitarian aid in Palestine)?
Jan 27, 11:01 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
13.04%
chance
3
115
Option
Votes
YES
NO
159
61
Why did we survive AI until 2100?
Jan 17, 4:58 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
28
1840
How many war crimes will James Bond commit in the next James Bond movie?
Dec 30, 2:45 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
12
913
How much funding will the UN response plan for Sudan receive by the end of 2024?
Jun 10, 12:45 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
500
Will U.S. security assistance to Ukraine drop by more than 50% in FY2024?
Dec 2, 5:13 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.57%
chance
52
2447
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1648
977
Will Israel commit war crimes by cutting off food/water, electricity, and fuel to the Gaza Strip?
Oct 9, 12:02 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
73.2%
chance
151
23385
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1800
1288
Will there be a violent incident around the new Gaza port in 2024?
Mar 10, 8:12 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
54.52%
chance
22
849
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
997
Will SF homelessness be solved by 2040?
Jun 16, 5:51 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
16.21%
chance
45
2519
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1356
900
[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
Jan 1, 1:31 PM
Jan 2, 6:00 PM
5%
chance
112
33908
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4392
892
Will Hamas negotiate to release more 10/7 hostages before a permanent ceasefire ?
Dec 20, 7:41 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.14%
chance
25
2220
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1289
685
Will the US suspend Israeli aid in 2024? 🇺🇸🚫🫴💰🇮🇱
Feb 10, 3:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.87%
chance
18
729
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1423
906
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