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Prediction markets for Human Rights Act

A year from now, will Manifold think this prediction about the future of LLM's has held up?

Jun 26, 5:23 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

59.33%chance

9778

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

828

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.88%chance

161520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1243

874

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.15%chance

171247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1408

888

Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?

Aug 14, 9:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.93%chance

9918244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4739

534

Will the next NZ government scrap 3 or more of the Act party's "demographic ministries"?

Sep 14, 6:54 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

21.12%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

56

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8323

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