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HuggingFace News
Prediction markets for HuggingFace
Prediction markets for HuggingFace
Will an opensource LLM on huggingface beat an average human at the most common LLM benchmarks by July 1, 2024?
Oct 26, 5:41 AM
Jul 2, 4:59 AM
76.32%
chance
23
1102
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1329
888
How many non-Transformer based models will be in the top 10 on HuggingFace Leaderboard in the 7B range by July?
Dec 28, 4:16 PM
Jul 2, 3:59 AM
16
770
Will Huggingface a fold by 2028?
Mar 23, 2:19 PM
Jan 16, 10:59 PM
41.67%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
160
123
🐕 OpenLLMs: Will Any Open Source LLM on the HuggingFace OpenLLM Leaderboard Significantly Gain in Avg Score by YE 2024?
Jan 10, 12:24 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
48.59%
chance
9
402
Option
Votes
YES
NO
157
140
🐕 Will A.I. Get, "Scarily Better at Helping To Resolve Shipping Supply Chain Issues," by the End of 2024? (HuggingFace)
Jan 8, 1:18 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
25%
chance
4
63
Option
Votes
YES
NO
163
82
Will HuggingFace be acquired by Meta by end of 2024?
Dec 19, 11:31 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
6.23%
chance
8
300
Option
Votes
YES
NO
365
150
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2025?
Aug 26, 1:33 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
158
58595
Which organization will first release an open weights video generation model with fidelity as good as Sora?
Feb 16, 4:08 PM
Feb 24, 4:59 AM
33
763
Will a Mamba 7b model trained on 2 trillion tokens outperform Llama2-13B
Dec 5, 1:04 PM
Jul 1, 3:59 AM
65.67%
chance
21
739
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1043
962
Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?
Jan 28, 1:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.88%
chance
34
1036
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1195
814
Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?
Mar 10, 12:34 PM
Mar 11, 3:59 AM
17.11%
chance
13
1170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1844
714
Is RLHF good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]
Mar 15, 2:32 PM
Jan 1, 6:00 AM
44.51%
chance
36
1134
Option
Votes
NO
YES
998
951
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19
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5
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