Higher News

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?

Aug 28, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

60.43%chance

20254548

OptionVotes

YES

32328

21655

Does listening to music lead to higher utility?

Jun 27, 6:22 PMJul 27, 9:59 PM

25.59%chance

1652178

OptionVotes

YES

17039

5879

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.48%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

2736

2637

Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030

Jan 18, 2:06 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

72.58%chance

424991

OptionVotes

YES

896

810

Given the recent allegations about Gala Games, will its GALA token end 2024 higher than the current price of $0.04289

May 31, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.41%chance

5561

OptionVotes

YES

2422

1503

Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)

Mar 16, 7:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

202583

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Oct 7, 11:35 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

12972052

Will Google Trends activity for 'AI' be higher on July 1st 2025 then it is today?

Jun 7, 10:30 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

60.79%chance

372457

OptionVotes

YES

1154

857

Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)?

Aug 25, 11:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2%chance

72273

OptionVotes

YES

725

Will Manifold's post-money valuation be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?

Feb 15, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.92%chance

135489

OptionVotes

YES

1168

922

Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?

Dec 16, 4:26 AMJan 20, 5:00 PM

11.52%chance

7116063

OptionVotes

YES

3356

788

Will average world temperature for 2024 be higher than 2023?

Oct 11, 2:00 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

73.05%chance

11433191

OptionVotes

YES

1511

881

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Higher News

Prediction markets for Higher

Prediction markets for Higher

Prediction markets for Higher

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?

Does listening to music lead to higher utility?

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030

Given the recent allegations about Gala Games, will its GALA token end 2024 higher than the current price of $0.04289

Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Will Google Trends activity for 'AI' be higher on July 1st 2025 then it is today?

Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)?

Will Manifold's post-money valuation be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?

Will Joe Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50% or Higher?

Will average world temperature for 2024 be higher than 2023?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Higher

Prediction markets for Higher

Prediction markets for Higher

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?

Does listening to music lead to higher utility?

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030

Given the recent allegations about Gala Games, will its GALA token end 2024 higher than the current price of $0.04289

Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side