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Prediction markets for Heaven
Prediction markets for Heaven
😇How many people will Manifold send to Heaven by EOY 2025?
Feb 14, 5:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9
4229
Will there be a Rhythm Tengoku (Rhythm Heaven) game on Switch?
Oct 17, 8:39 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
😇Who will go to Heaven by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 3, 10:04 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
63
17034
Will @Austin and I see each other in heaven?
Aug 26, 3:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18.21%
chance
7
626
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
101
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170108
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3794
What books will I enjoy reading?
Apr 27, 1:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
172
34936
Will Matei Zaharia's posts on HeavenGames show up in a LLM created about him by EOY 2025?
Nov 10, 7:55 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.7%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
75
Will all of the publicly accessible parts of heavengames.com/aok.heavengames.com become part of a large language model like Claude or GPT by 2025?
Feb 20, 7:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
82
Will HeavenGames (heavengames.com) still exist as a site in 2030?
Apr 18, 11:05 PM
Jan 1, 9:01 AM
64%
chance
7
185
Option
Votes
NO
YES
215
159
Will I think all AI hell broke loose in 2024?
Dec 26, 9:13 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
5.9%
chance
153
26534
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2384
1242
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