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Prediction markets for He Would Never

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

54.87%chance

12212506412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11790

9445

Conditional upon the Democratic party replacing Joe Biden as nominee, will they win the election?

Jun 28, 7:17 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

859588

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Jun 17, 4:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

79075

Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1000 from Manifold "prize points" in 2024?

Apr 24, 4:07 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59%chance

798901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2574

2232

When will Java have Value Classes/Value Types?

Jun 22, 6:51 AMJun 29, 3:59 PM

7869

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

Mar 8, 2:14 AMMar 14, 7:59 AM

11.97%chance

9366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

458

145

Will Manifold Markets be operating the sweepstakes model without legal intervention at EOY 2024?

Apr 22, 10:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.09%chance

10427949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1535

1041

Will Ted Cruz be the next Republican elected President?

Aug 8, 4:43 PMNov 10, 4:59 AM

4.61%chance

416707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1784

912

Will OpenAI re-add the "Sky" voice by the end of 2024?

May 24, 12:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

17521409

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Will any existing McDonald's ordering stations begin accepting voice orders in 2024?

Dec 18, 1:45 PMDec 31, 8:00 AM

22.21%chance

524925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2030

851

Major physics discovery thanks to AI by the end of 2025?

Aug 25, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.79%chance

774982

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1236

1135

Will Infowars go down?

Jan 18, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.47%chance

549827

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

916

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