Half News

What will be the half life of Flerovium-298? (Log scale)

Nov 24, 5:22 PMNov 29, 7:59 AM

28.7%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

Nov 24, 12:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57%chance

10422901

OptionVotes

YES

1553

1075

(M1000 subsidy!) Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030

Mar 26, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.11%chance

303375

OptionVotes

YES

2078

572

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Jun 28, 4:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.14%chance

20961

OptionVotes

YES

1044

900

Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?

Nov 7, 4:30 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

69%chance

193200

OptionVotes

YES

1283

691

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.63%chance

14226

OptionVotes

YES

1020

978

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Jun 1, 6:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

34.19%chance

11656

OptionVotes

YES

1387

721

Will Half Life 3 release before Team Fortress 3?

Mar 30, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.25%chance

12374

OptionVotes

YES

1059

954

Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?

Mar 26, 1:08 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.77%chance

21666

OptionVotes

YES

982

975

More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?

Mar 2, 1:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.89%chance

381776

OptionVotes

YES

1270

868

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Apr 14, 3:22 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

37.18%chance

512091

OptionVotes

YES

1018

967

Will Google Chrome's mean desktop market share in the second half of 2024 be at least 2% lower than in the first half?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.35%chance

15414

OptionVotes

YES

1077

946

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Half News

Prediction markets for Half

Prediction markets for Half

Prediction markets for Half

What will be the half life of Flerovium-298? (Log scale)

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

(M1000 subsidy!) Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Will Half Life 3 release before Team Fortress 3?

Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?

More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Will Google Chrome's mean desktop market share in the second half of 2024 be at least 2% lower than in the first half?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Half

Prediction markets for Half

Prediction markets for Half

What will be the half life of Flerovium-298? (Log scale)

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

(M1000 subsidy!) Will Half-Life 3 be released by end of 2030

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?