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Prediction markets for Greens

Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Philadelphia Eagles? 🏈 São Paulo, Brazil

Apr 10, 2:12 PMSep 7, 3:59 AM

46.57%chance

14370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

902

There are no USA Presidents that had Green eyes. Will there be one by March 1st 2063?

Mar 21, 5:50 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

26.23%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

973

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene claim that humanity has been contacted by non-human intelligences before the end of 2024?

Oct 17, 8:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.29%chance

15815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1208

861

What share of the vote will the Greens receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.39%chance

15313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

958

Will "On green" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Mar 25, 12:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

80.45%chance

14720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

881

Will Marjorie Taylor Green be re-elected in November 2024.

Oct 12, 7:10 PMNov 5, 4:59 AM

86.18%chance

101732

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1241

935

Will the Green Party win any seats in England at the next general election?

Jun 9, 2:02 PMMar 1, 12:00 PM

89.8%chance

553488

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2489

634

Will Green Bay cut Anders Carlson before next season?

Jan 21, 4:55 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

46.62%chance

321129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

777

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the Greens in Germany's next federal election?

Jun 9, 10:26 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

89.16%chance

515430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2508

532

Will John Green participate in Jet Lag before 2025?

Sep 7, 7:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.72%chance

122469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2840

780

Will Apple end "green bubble" texts in 2024?

Dec 27, 2:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.04%chance

332046

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

966

Will Melina's Green Card get revoked because Sweden confiscated her passport?

Aug 24, 10:40 PMAug 23, 3:59 AM

7.85%chance

173283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

910

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