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Grant Fund News
Prediction markets for Grant Fund
Prediction markets for Grant Fund
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%
chance
74
5724
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2141
900
Will the Navigation Fund have a grant report at the level of funds granted by cause area by the end of 2024?
Jun 2, 3:14 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
50.96%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1019
981
Will the Navigation Fund have a grant report on the level of individual grants by the end of 2024?
Jun 5, 9:49 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.16%
chance
2
564
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1522
657
Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.
Sep 22, 6:44 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
23%
chance
16
739
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1097
949
Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?
Sep 22, 11:29 PM
Sep 30, 3:59 AM
20.19%
chance
13
315
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1144
930
What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?
Feb 9, 2:56 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
26.04%
chance
12
728
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1258
854
Will "impact markets" distribute more than $10m of grant funding before 2030?
Nov 1, 10:00 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
73.01%
chance
4
42
Option
Votes
NO
YES
245
182
Who will grant funding to Manifold in 2024?
Jan 2, 9:25 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1
21
Will the Navigation Fund make over $10M of grants to AI safety causes in 2024?
Nov 26, 5:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19.95%
chance
5
144
Option
Votes
YES
NO
225
74
Which ACX Grants 2024 impact certs will meet their minimum funding on Manifund?
Mar 13, 10:19 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
2
Will Open Philanthropy extend more grant funding to GCRs & longtermism than Global Health and Wellbeing in 2024?
Feb 2, 6:38 AM
Jan 11, 4:59 AM
43.43%
chance
8
150
Option
Votes
YES
NO
205
172
Outcome of Threads Joining the Fediverse
Jul 14, 6:49 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
5
80
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4 months
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