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Top stories

Researchers and OpenAI Develop Algorithm to Detect AI Hallucinations with CriticGPT
Authors
16
17 hours
AI
Education
Tech
Groq Inc. Launches Ultra-Fast Transcription with Whisper-large-v3 Model at 140x Speed
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5
5 days
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Microsoft AI CEO: GPT-6 to Enable AI Models to Follow Instructions in 2 Years
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7
4 days
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OpenAI's CTO Unveils GPT-5 with PhD-Level Intelligence by late 2025 or early 2026
Authors
5
7 days
AI
Tech
$DeepSeek-Coder-V2 Surpasses GPT4-Turbo in Coding and Math with 236B Parameters, 338 Programming Languages Support, and Cost-effectiveness$
DeepSeek-Coder-V2 Surpasses GPT4-Turbo in Coding and Math with 236B Parameters, 338 Programming Languages Support, and Cost-effectiveness
Authors
36
10 days
AI
Tech
CLLMs, vLLM, and GLM-4 Drive Advances in Large Language Model Efficiency
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7
9 days
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OpenAI Introduces GPT-4o, a Digital PA, Revolutionizing AI Interactions
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10
12 days
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Tech
GPT-4 Passes Turing Test, Researchers Claim; Raises Implications and Advancements in AI
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5
13 days
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New Method Boosts Mathematical Olympiad Solutions with LLaMa-3 8B to 45.49% in GSM-Hard
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6
15 days
AI
Tech

Prediction markets for GPT

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Mar 17, 4:56 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

48.93%chance

1982876132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13172

6611

Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?

Aug 28, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

60.15%chance

20254348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

32134

21783

Will GPT-5 be capable of recursive self-improvement?

Mar 31, 6:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.07%chance

16676554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5622

651

How much will gpt-4.5 inference cost?

Jun 3, 10:03 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

2624519

GPT-4 #5: Will GPT-4 be a dense model?

Nov 15, 5:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

2.88%chance

169278734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10415

266

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Jun 8, 7:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7215153

Will GPT-4's parameter count be known by end of 2024?

Jun 4, 2:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.26%chance

10623237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3724

438

[Metaculus] Will an LLM at least on the scale of GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025?

Oct 4, 3:03 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

89%chance

171855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

915

Will there be a model that has a 75% win rate against the latest iteration of GPT-4 as of January 1st, 2025?

Apr 21, 10:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.07%chance

6815014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2703

2252

Will GPT-5 get the Monty Fall problem correct?

Mar 15, 7:24 AMDec 31, 7:24 AM

62.37%chance

8027415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

683

Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?

Apr 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

53.65%chance

514847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1135

830

When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)

Apr 6, 3:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.23%chance

418835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1910

1517

Articles

Latest stories

Researchers and OpenAI Develop Algorithm to Detect AI Hallucinations with CriticGPT
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