Governance News

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.47%chance

499193

OptionVotes

YES

9958

9870

AI Governance Stock (Permanent)

Feb 9, 8:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

431

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will any AI be legally recognized by any country's government as being a "person" deserving of some rights before 2029?

Mar 15, 12:02 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.99%chance

452865

OptionVotes

YES

1010

982

A Government to confirm the existence of alien 👽 life on earth 🌎 by 2025.

Jan 13, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:51 PM

3.82%chance

17269773

OptionVotes

YES

3741

1463

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?

Jul 5, 2:20 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

56.43%chance

7330130

OptionVotes

YES

1177

808

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2024?

Nov 10, 1:04 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

18.74%chance

7527513

OptionVotes

YES

1940

614

Is the US government currently (2023) hiding AI capabilities beyond the current state of the art? (Resolves 2040)

Nov 29, 11:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.03%chance

8293

OptionVotes

YES

477

139

Who will win the TikTok vs The US Government case to stop the TikTok ban?

May 7, 4:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

614278

Next US government shutdown

Jul 6, 12:10 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

318183957

Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?

Sep 11, 5:08 AMOct 21, 6:59 AM

12.28%chance

17962420

OptionVotes

YES

8108

1875

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?

Jul 5, 12:08 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

15.25%chance

287129063

OptionVotes

YES

5868

916

Will an OpenAI employee be publicly revealed as a spy for the Chinese government before 2025?

May 13, 8:38 PMDec 14, 7:59 AM

15.36%chance

685751

OptionVotes

YES

5638

3956

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Governance News

Prediction markets for Governance

Prediction markets for Governance

Prediction markets for Governance

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

AI Governance Stock (Permanent)

Will any AI be legally recognized by any country's government as being a "person" deserving of some rights before 2029?

A Government to confirm the existence of alien 👽 life on earth 🌎 by 2025.

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2024?

Is the US government currently (2023) hiding AI capabilities beyond the current state of the art? (Resolves 2040)

Who will win the TikTok vs The US Government case to stop the TikTok ban?

Next US government shutdown

Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?

Will an OpenAI employee be publicly revealed as a spy for the Chinese government before 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Governance

Prediction markets for Governance

Prediction markets for Governance

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

AI Governance Stock (Permanent)

Will any AI be legally recognized by any country's government as being a "person" deserving of some rights before 2029?

A Government to confirm the existence of alien 👽 life on earth 🌎 by 2025.

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2024?

Is the US government currently (2023) hiding AI capabilities beyond the current state of the art? (Resolves 2040)