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Prediction markets for Google Keep

Will Alphabet Shutter Google Keep By December 31st, 2025?

Nov 27, 12:34 AMJan 9, 6:59 AM

28.66%chance

473643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1795

951

Will Google docs automatically keep a document updated by end 2024

Oct 30, 6:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.65%chance

566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

172

Will Google Drive keep 15GB of storage for free Google account until 2025?

Apr 20, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

118

Will any of these Destiny allies have their bridges burned this year ?

Feb 15, 9:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

171804

Will AI be able to solve confusing but elementary geometric reasoning problems in 2024?

Apr 16, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.91%chance

252163532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

1328

If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?

Nov 29, 12:12 AMDec 6, 7:59 AM

43.88%chance

18788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

915

(When) will Google's Carbon-lang be deprecated?

Jul 27, 12:37 PMJul 27, 9:59 PM

73.67%chance

11147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

951

Will there be a high-profile power struggle at Anthropic before 2026?

Nov 20, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.84%chance

28955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

905

Will Google Gemini perform better (text) than GPT-4?

Sep 24, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.35%chance

435052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

355

Conditional on TikTok being "banned" in the U.S., will I be able to install it?

Mar 23, 4:50 PMJan 1, 5:50 PM

83.05%chance

361440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

953

4) The most advanced closed models will continue to outperform the most advanced open models by a meaningful margin.

Dec 25, 1:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

92.3%chance

371358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1549

911

Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?

Jan 15, 2:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

372423

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