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Prediction markets for Give Donation

Will Giving What We Can handle donations to the Happier Lives Institute in July 2024?

Jul 18, 3:38 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

06

OptionVotes

NO

YES

54

46

Any company from AIM's Founding to Give's first batch lead to an exit with donations >$1M before EOY 2036?

Mar 15, 11:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

Give Directly will be in the top 5 most donated in Manifold for over 1 consecutive month before EOY 2025

Dec 31, 6:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

40.98%chance

010

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

Ideas for giving away mana / donation

Sep 30, 8:21 PM

00

Mission Control: How should we use the 🚀Tactical☢️Nuclear🪙Mana🌟Spirit💣Bomb?

Mar 7, 1:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8811259

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.32%chance

178405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6331

3305

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.29%chance

111709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4632

4000

Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?

Feb 1, 5:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.68%chance

10721568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4228

1787

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will the winner of the Musk vs Zuckerberg fight receive some prize at the expense of the loser?

Aug 11, 2:37 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

46.88%chance

22786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

975

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.04%chance

12728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

854

If Manifold ceases to allow mana withdrawals, will mana experience significant inflation within the next year?

Dec 19, 2:05 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

86.74%chance

191394

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1524

796

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Electoral Bonds Scheme Called World's Biggest Extortion Racket by Leaders
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6
4 months
India
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