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Prediction markets for German government

Which parties will form the next German federal government?

Oct 10, 9:30 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

468950

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.7%chance

509555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1354

746

Will the current German government abolish/reduce the company car privilege?

Dec 7, 9:56 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

30.45%chance

10296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

985

Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?

Mar 25, 12:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

20.07%chance

15633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

886

Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?

Feb 10, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.96%chance

19429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

871

Will the german government last until the next election?

Feb 6, 2:02 AMOct 24, 11:59 PM

87.3%chance

301790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1418

903

Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?

Jul 14, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.85%chance

294257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3128

816

Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?

Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4.03%chance

171415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

918

Will US or German government confirm that there were plans to exchange Alexei Navalny for Krasikov or someone else?

Feb 26, 4:33 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

40.16%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

263

Will the German CDU be part of a governing coalition with the Afd on the state or federal level before 2025?

Jul 21, 8:08 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

1.26%chance

163936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3580

873

Will Siemens Energy rely on the $8 billion guarantee of the German government in 2024?

Dec 5, 10:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.3%chance

343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

93

54

Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine by the end of 2024?

May 23, 1:53 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7.79%chance

7616072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3441

291

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