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Top stories

Microsoft Launches Free 18-Lesson Generative AI Course on GitHub
Authors
16
1 day
AI
Education
Tech
PwCIreland Survey: Majority of Irish Business Leaders Concerned About Generative AI Cybersecurity Risks
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Tech

Prediction markets for Generative AI

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.24%chance

29324547546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12518

9588

By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?

Apr 12, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.14%chance

23134850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

884

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?

Sep 13, 8:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.93%chance

562806180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4024

2680

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.1%chance

19348237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2002

1337

Will AI be able to generate an interactive web front-end by the end of 2024?

May 30, 10:36 AMDec 1, 11:59 PM

29.56%chance

11580182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2433

305

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.46%chance

705493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6274

6067

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.47%chance

13111981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

2380

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.2%chance

21339153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4702

1324

By 2025, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?

Feb 7, 4:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.2%chance

13013226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3108

1311

Will AI be able to generate non-trivial, original codebase in a compiled language (C++, Java, ...) before 2025?

Mar 17, 5:57 PMOct 17, 10:59 PM

18.14%chance

6013411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1937

294

Will there exist an AI music generator at least as good as DALL-E 3 by the end of 2024?

Jan 26, 6:42 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.61%chance

16366505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1765

1148

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Feb 27, 12:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

79.16%chance

13826215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3817

2915

Articles

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