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Prediction markets for General Conference
Prediction markets for General Conference
What will the 2026 General Conference on Weights and Measures decide about the definition of the second?
Oct 17, 12:58 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
9
714
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.52%
chance
21
6782
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3277
305
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
Nov 17, 7:38 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
30.39%
chance
21
1033
Option
Votes
NO
YES
998
978
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
Sep 25, 8:23 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
16.85%
chance
26
3557
Option
Votes
NO
YES
964
914
Will I enjoy Manifest 2024 more than the original Manifest?
Mar 2, 6:58 AM
Aug 10, 6:59 AM
42.21%
chance
8
151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
239
165
Will a team that goes 2-2 in group advance to the single elimination round of the NBA In-Season Tournament by 2025?
Nov 15, 4:03 AM
Mar 1, 5:59 AM
4
255
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7
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8
3 months
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