Gemini Pro News

Will a prompt for Tetris be found, such that either GPT-4V or Gemini Pro Vision place >30 pieces on average?

Feb 1, 4:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.88%chance

29970

OptionVotes

YES

1381

1327

Will a prompt for Tetris be found, such that either GPT-4V or Gemini Pro Vision place >50 pieces on average?

Feb 1, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.92%chance

10175

OptionVotes

YES

1012

985

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]

Feb 15, 5:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.71%chance

10146

OptionVotes

YES

1068

952

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Personal judgement]

Feb 15, 5:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.22%chance

19758

OptionVotes

YES

1065

955

Did Gemini 1.5 Pro achieve long-context reasoning through retrieval?

Feb 15, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

144

OptionVotes

YES

Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?

Jan 15, 2:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

372423

Who will win the manifold bots vs humans forecasting tournament

Jan 8, 7:40 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

4285

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Aug 18, 10:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.58%chance

15299

OptionVotes

YES

1031

944

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

Jun 9, 4:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.86%chance

10457

OptionVotes

YES

1389

720

Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?

Jan 20, 6:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17.01%chance

14664

OptionVotes

YES

1244

893

Will the product of the version numbers of all major AI language models released in 2024 be greater than 1000?

Mar 10, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

88.21%chance

294068

OptionVotes

YES

2401

242

Will Gemini Nano's weights be publicly availible before 2025?

Dec 8, 11:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.54%chance

227776

OptionVotes

YES

1317

648

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Gemini Pro News

Prediction markets for Gemini Pro

Prediction markets for Gemini Pro

Prediction markets for Gemini Pro

Will a prompt for Tetris be found, such that either GPT-4V or Gemini Pro Vision place >30 pieces on average?

Will a prompt for Tetris be found, such that either GPT-4V or Gemini Pro Vision place >50 pieces on average?

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Personal judgement]

Did Gemini 1.5 Pro achieve long-context reasoning through retrieval?

Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?

Who will win the manifold bots vs humans forecasting tournament

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?

Will the product of the version numbers of all major AI language models released in 2024 be greater than 1000?

Will Gemini Nano's weights be publicly availible before 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Gemini Pro

Prediction markets for Gemini Pro

Prediction markets for Gemini Pro

Will a prompt for Tetris be found, such that either GPT-4V or Gemini Pro Vision place >30 pieces on average?

Will a prompt for Tetris be found, such that either GPT-4V or Gemini Pro Vision place >50 pieces on average?

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Personal judgement]

Did Gemini 1.5 Pro achieve long-context reasoning through retrieval?

Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?

Who will win the manifold bots vs humans forecasting tournament

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Will one of the monthly "has weak AGI been achieved" polls regress during 2024?

Will OpenAI and Google models have a 100+ point Elo lead in the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024?

Will the product of the version numbers of all major AI language models released in 2024 be greater than 1000?

Will Gemini Nano's weights be publicly availible before 2025?

Latest stories