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Gaza operation News
Prediction markets for Gaza operation
Prediction markets for Gaza operation
Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?
Feb 25, 5:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
78.96%
chance
17
584
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1273
832
Did the head of Egyptian intelligence warn Netanyahu about a "fierce" operation about to take place around Gaza?
Oct 9, 4:59 PM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
19.51%
chance
36
4628
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1450
632
Which months in 2024 will the Gaza Aid JLOTS Pier be operational for more than five days?
Jul 2, 1:20 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
0
0
Will any Russian PMC be operating in Gaza by the end of 2024?
Jan 6, 11:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13.18%
chance
4
160
Option
Votes
YES
NO
167
82
Which of the goals of the ongoing operation in Gaza will Israel achieve: freeing the hostages and eliminating Hamas?
Apr 7, 1:54 PM
25
0
Will Israel free another living hostage by military means in the next 4 months?
Jun 9, 6:20 PM
Oct 9, 8:59 PM
58.22%
chance
69
6687
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1180
847
$300M subsidy: Did Israel bomb an evacuation route?
Oct 19, 6:53 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
45.22%
chance
23
952
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1010
984
Will Israel unambiguously escalate to a "full-scale" Rafah Offensive before July, according to Wikipedia?
May 25, 2:03 AM
Jul 2, 6:59 AM
3.89%
chance
40
6604
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4972
201
Will one or more of Saudi Arabia, Egypt or the United Arab Emirates send peacekeeping troops to Gaza by 12/31/2024
Oct 8, 11:27 PM
Dec 16, 4:59 AM
22.99%
chance
10
212
Option
Votes
YES
NO
278
114
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75% Israeli Jews Back Rafah Op, Seen as Netanyahu's Boost Despite Biden's Red Line
Authors
6
4 months
Israel
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