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Top stories

Germany Introduces Citizenship Quiz, Requires Declaration of Israel’s Right to Exist
Authors
5
2 days
Israel
Germany
World
Hamas Leader Haniyeh Rejects Any Gaza Agreement Without Ceasefire on June 25
Authors
5
3 days
Israel
Middle East
Economics
Jewish Family Attacked at PS 682 Graduation in Gravesend Amid Anti-Israel Chants
Authors
17
5 days
Israel
Crime
World
Gaza Journalist Maha Hussaini's Courage Award Rescinded by Washington-Based IWMF After Smear Campaign
Authors
4
5 days
Israel
Middle East
Washington DC
Netanyahu Criticizes 'Gays for Gaza'; NY LGBTQ Community Divided over Gaza War
Authors
4
6 days
Israel
Economics
World
Prominent Gazan Doctor Tortured to Death; Dire Conditions in Israeli Sde Teiman Detention Camp
Authors
5
9 days
Israel
Crime
World
Accounts of Captivity Emerge in Israel and Gaza, 4,000 Gazans Abducted
Authors
4
9 days
Israel
Crime
World
Hamas Popularity in Gaza Shows Mixed Reports Amid Conflict, Support Levels Vary
Authors
6
12 days
Israel
World
Israeli Officials Discuss Offensive Amid Hezbollah Attacks; Gaza Ceasefire Pressure
Authors
5
13 days
Israel
World
Israel's Chief of Staff Meets Arab Military Officials in Bahrain on Monday for Security Talks Amid Iran Threat
Authors
14
16 days
Israel
World

Prediction markets for Gaza

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.54%chance

10311535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4069

813

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

20012629

Will The Palestianians who evacuated to southern Gaza be allowed to return by the end of 2025? (M 500 Subsidies)

Nov 10, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.09%chance

352368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1818

1431

Will there be a ceasefire in Gaza by Eoy 2024?

Dec 29, 6:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.83%chance

13611850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

1062

Will Israel commit war crimes by cutting off food/water, electricity, and fuel to the Gaza Strip?

Oct 9, 12:02 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

77.41%chance

15023285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2091

1193

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.44%chance

17026333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1768

1110

[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Jan 3, 12:22 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

33%chance

564924

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

915

Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?

Dec 28, 6:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.84%chance

221462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1491

815

Will at least 100k Palestinians emigrate from the Gaza strip by EOY 2024?

Oct 14, 3:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.57%chance

599084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2989

307

Will another person immolate themself in 2024 as a protest against the Israeli destruction of Gaza?

Feb 27, 3:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.32%chance

535381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

757

Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?

Oct 26, 1:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.91%chance

10190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

961

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.36%chance

285117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

789

Articles

Latest stories

Germany Introduces Citizenship Quiz, Requires Declaration of Israel’s Right to Exist
Authors
5
2 days
Israel
Germany
World
Hamas Leader Haniyeh Rejects Any Gaza Agreement Without Ceasefire on June 25
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