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Prediction markets for GA
Prediction markets for GA
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2025?
Jan 16, 5:01 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17.27%
chance
10
392
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1164
923
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
Jan 16, 5:02 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32%
chance
11
510
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1104
878
Close states: How many of 13 will flip in the 2024 Pres. Election? (AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI)
Dec 11, 2:47 PM
Nov 6, 6:59 AM
8
814
Close states: How many of 13 vote Dem in the 2024 Pres. Election? (AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI)
Dec 6, 3:30 PM
Nov 6, 6:59 AM
11
774
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2027?
Jan 16, 5:03 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
60%
chance
5
184
Option
Votes
YES
NO
134
86
Which of PA, FL, MI, AZ, WI, NC, GA will the Democratic candidate win in the next presidential election?
Oct 2, 2:47 PM
Dec 1, 5:59 AM
3
35
Will the Democrats win both PA and GA in 2024 Presidential election?
Feb 27, 2:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
44.82%
chance
4
112
Option
Votes
YES
NO
178
141
How many of the original 13 colonies vote Dem for Pres. in 2024? (CT, DE, GA, MA, MD, NC, NH, NJ, NY, PA, VA, RI, SC)
Dec 7, 5:27 AM
Nov 6, 6:59 AM
12
3868
Will Democrats keep the presidency AND have a net gain in Congress?
Apr 27, 6:56 AM
Dec 2, 5:59 AM
35.3%
chance
13
349
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10065
9941
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
41%
chance
294
69329
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2743
2486
[Metaculus] Before July, will the ICC issue arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant or Halevi?
May 5, 4:56 PM
Jul 2, 1:00 PM
1.02%
chance
62
126836
Option
Votes
YES
NO
128363
2207
If Trump becomes President, will he "Make America Great Again" by the midterms? [Gallup Polling > Obama]
Feb 29, 7:34 PM
Nov 2, 7:59 AM
30.43%
chance
117
13189
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7140
2836
Articles
Latest stories
Google Releases Gemini Pro, Expands AI Capabilities for Developers and Enterprises with GPT-3.5 Comparison on Google Cloud
Authors
99
7 months
AI
Tech
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