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Top stories

Brooke Mueller, Palm Beach Socialite Questioned in LAPD Matthew Perry Death Probe
Authors
6
5 days
Los Angeles
Florida
Crime
Matthew Perry Ketamine Death Investigation Nears Conclusion, Multiple People May Face Charges
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46
6 days
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Lisa Kudrow Rewatches 'Friends' to Honor Late Co-Star Matthew Perry's Memory
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Krispy Kreme Launches 'Friends'-Themed Doughnuts for 30th Anniversary in UK and Ireland
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Prediction markets for Friends

Will I enter a romantic relationship with my best friend before 2025?

Jan 1, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.3%chance

15724322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2224

1355

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Feb 3, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

11373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

993

978

Will destiny have a public falling out with anyone he considered a friend in 2024?

Feb 25, 11:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.04%chance

242296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

560

Will I gain a new close friend within 5 years?

Jul 1, 11:35 AMJul 8, 8:59 PM

65.81%chance

14688

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1387

721

Will my friends' kid ever be better at any knowledge-work than cutting-edge AI, by 2040?

Mar 26, 12:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.2%chance

14191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

958

Will Smiling Friends be renewed for a 4th season by Adult Swim by the end of 2025?

Jun 14, 12:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.2%chance

12702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1572

636

Will the real superconductor be the friends we made along the way? (check desc.)

Aug 6, 5:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27%chance

7315989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

625

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Apr 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

71.1%chance

30991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1197

882

Will the Mar-a-Lago surveillance footage subpoenaed by the FBI show that Donald Trump took friends and guests into the locked room where the highly sensitive information was stored?

Aug 17, 7:04 AMDec 25, 4:59 AM

42.51%chance

393366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

939

813

How many friends will @RanaG make from attending LessOnline/SC/Manifest?

Jun 5, 9:57 PMJun 13, 6:59 AM

1916825

Will Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?

Mar 11, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.24%chance

351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

101

Will Ethan (my close friend) visit a nightclub while in Portugal for a week?

Jun 30, 11:46 PMJul 8, 3:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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Brooke Mueller, Palm Beach Socialite Questioned in LAPD Matthew Perry Death Probe
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