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Top stories
San Francisco Celebrates Pride Weekend with World's Largest 4.1-Mile Laser Rainbow Flag
Authors
8
3 days
San Francisco
Politics
Culture
Prediction markets for Freedom
Prediction markets for Freedom
By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?
Mar 31, 7:04 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
30.48%
chance
3
61
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2736
2637
Will democracy around the world continue to decline in 2024, according to Freedom House?
Dec 2, 5:16 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
73.16%
chance
84
10236
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1894
1124
If Biden wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
Mar 15, 10:55 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
23%
chance
12
300
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1125
939
If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
Mar 15, 10:49 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
79.82%
chance
16
701
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1311
883
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Far-right Freedom Party will be largest in Austrian Parliament
Jan 3, 5:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
79.59%
chance
14
324
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
963
What will be Argentina’s peak economic freedom between 2024 & 2030, according to the Economic Freedom of the World?
Mar 31, 9:32 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2
110
Will Ukraine be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
Mar 28, 2:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
53.47%
chance
3
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
94
86
Johnny Somali loses his freedom
Apr 9, 5:00 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
58.33%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
140
103
Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
Mar 28, 2:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
36.22%
chance
5
118
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
116
Who will next receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom "With Distinction"? [Free Response - Fixed Payout]
Nov 11, 6:04 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
8
384
Will Any Freedom City Get Built before 2040?
Nov 22, 3:49 PM
Nov 29, 11:59 PM
25.14%
chance
8
162
Option
Votes
YES
NO
284
105
Will Mexico be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
Aug 1, 3:01 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.8%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
140
64
Articles
Latest stories
San Francisco Celebrates Pride Weekend with World's Largest 4.1-Mile Laser Rainbow Flag
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8
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5
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19
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9
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Authors
66
6 months
Economics
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Gospel Musician Jimmy Levy's Hit Song 'Freedom' Sparks Necessary Discussion on Israel
Authors
4
9 months
Politics
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