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Prediction markets for Four Nations

Will at least four candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Oct 9, 8:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.26%chance

5176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

353

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.86%chance

3310874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18386

7579

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

68.31%chance

16561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

889

Will RFK Jr. qualify for the 9/10/2024 ABC presidential debate?

Jun 20, 3:38 PMSep 11, 3:59 AM

18.02%chance

291726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2133

469

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11366057

Will Total Human Population Fall Below Four Billion by End of 2030?

Jun 18, 5:48 AMJan 30, 10:59 PM

6.18%chance

222395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1520

927

Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics?

Apr 13, 4:49 PMJul 26, 7:00 PM

57%chance

459781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

141

Will the U.S. and China go to war by 2025?

Mar 19, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.84%chance

523638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1233

994

Will >90% of professional salaried workers no longer be classed as exempt from overtime pay by the end of 2028?

Sep 24, 8:04 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

27.49%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

86

Will Peru's current soccer coach, Juan Reynoso, continue to lead the national soccer team for the 2026 World Cup?

Nov 8, 6:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.51%chance

61723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

62

Will at least half of the GOP and Democratic Party Presidential and VP nominees be women in 2028?

Mar 6, 3:48 AMOct 13, 1:29 PM

46.37%chance

790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

215

How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?

Jan 2, 8:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7725

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David Pastrnak Leads Czechia to Gold at 2024 IIHF World Championship in Prague, Calls for Four Nations Inclusion
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