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Fiscal Year 2024 News
Prediction markets for Fiscal Year 2024
Prediction markets for Fiscal Year 2024
[ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Oct 7, 1:00 PM
16.64%
chance
70
7482
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1248
1000
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
Jun 30, 7:25 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45.44%
chance
3
210
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1576
1429
If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
Jun 30, 7:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
56.74%
chance
3
150
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1645
1373
Will Ethiopia restructure its debt obligations to China in 2024?
Dec 2, 12:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32.32%
chance
27
1759
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2024
1148
Will the remake of Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door sell more than Paper Mario: The Origami King?
Mar 14, 6:09 AM
Jun 1, 2:29 PM
74.17%
chance
74
1612
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1691
964
If Biden wins, will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50%?
Mar 18, 1:08 PM
May 1, 6:59 AM
25.2%
chance
11
167
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1093
949
If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?
Feb 23, 8:47 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29.16%
chance
23
1866
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1129
920
If Trump wins, will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50%?
Mar 18, 1:07 PM
May 1, 6:59 AM
30.62%
chance
13
942
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1555
565
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? (Independent market)
Mar 10, 4:15 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
2
115
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60
3197
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? (Dependent market)
Mar 5, 2:13 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
3
56
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024 in thousands? (Numeric market)
Mar 12, 2:15 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
3
146
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