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Prediction markets for First Steps

How old will the first person to step on Mars be

Apr 8, 11:17 AMDec 16, 4:59 AM

7221

Will Boston Mayor Michelle Wu step down before the end of her first term?

Sep 21, 2:28 PMNov 4, 10:59 PM

19.23%chance

8186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

253

108

Will the first human step foot on Mars on exactly January 1st 2036?

Aug 15, 7:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.1%chance

271584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1959

928

What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 7, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

453949

What will happen during the 2024 World Chess Championship? weird promotions, pawn cube, castle mate?

Dec 28, 1:37 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

7717492

Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?

Jun 28, 3:51 AMAug 2, 3:59 AM

53.47%chance

861680709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69068

15873

Will Biden have to step down from his current (or any future) Presidential role due to health reasons?

Aug 19, 12:01 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

384177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3539

3447

Will the first person to land on Mars ever return to Earth?

Feb 9, 6:33 PMFeb 10, 12:00 AM

69.57%chance

371506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

973

Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?

Jul 14, 11:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

61.28%chance

19795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

796

Taiwan, Moon, Nuclear - Entangled market

Mar 13, 3:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.93%chance

11143

OptionVotes

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NO

1018

983

Will Trump’s vice president pick in 2024 be the presidential nominee in 2028?

Sep 2, 11:10 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

28.18%chance

332209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

925

Will Costco split its stock in 2024?

Mar 3, 4:43 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28.63%chance

12804

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YES

NO

1216

880

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Keir Starmer endorsed by Boots CEO Sebastian James, a close friend of David Cameron
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