First Information Report News

[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

74.13%chance

12033410

OptionVotes

YES

1986

510

[ACX 2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 17, 12:00 AM

80.86%chance

707077

OptionVotes

YES

2090

282

GOES 19 becomes Operational East before first 2024 US ATL/GulfCoast landfalling Hurricane?

Jun 10, 2:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.1%chance

11569

OptionVotes

YES

1202

832

[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMDec 16, 2:00 PM

51.16%chance

603558

OptionVotes

YES

1103

909

[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Apr 15, 2:22 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

71.63%chance

391226

OptionVotes

YES

1090

944

Will data storage with DNA be in use by 2035?

Aug 25, 1:55 PMFeb 12, 11:59 PM

33.92%chance

412255

OptionVotes

YES

1121

916

Will we learn by 2026 that a human had been artificially cloned as of September 2023?

Sep 25, 9:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13%chance

132100

OptionVotes

YES

981

964

Will the overall health of the Chesapeake Bay in its 2023 report show improvement over its 2022 report?

Jan 10, 6:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.36%chance

488

OptionVotes

YES

185

Will there be a major data breach in 2024 affecting > 10 million people?

Jul 29, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.53%chance

8374

OptionVotes

YES

508

Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?

Mar 30, 10:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.17%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

110

109

Will the S&P 500 "Information Technology" sector exceed 30% by 2025?

Mar 23, 12:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.1%chance

448

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will the Baltimore Baby Bonus qualify for the November 2024 ballot?

Jan 29, 12:14 AMOct 16, 3:59 AM

97.8%chance

3522

OptionVotes

YES

611

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First Information Report News

Prediction markets for First Information Report

Prediction markets for First Information Report

Prediction markets for First Information Report

[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?

[ACX 2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

GOES 19 becomes Operational East before first 2024 US ATL/GulfCoast landfalling Hurricane?

[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?

[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Will data storage with DNA be in use by 2035?

Will we learn by 2026 that a human had been artificially cloned as of September 2023?

Will the overall health of the Chesapeake Bay in its 2023 report show improvement over its 2022 report?

Will there be a major data breach in 2024 affecting > 10 million people?

Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?

Will the S&P 500 "Information Technology" sector exceed 30% by 2025?

Will the Baltimore Baby Bonus qualify for the November 2024 ballot?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for First Information Report

Prediction markets for First Information Report

Prediction markets for First Information Report

[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?

[ACX 2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

GOES 19 becomes Operational East before first 2024 US ATL/GulfCoast landfalling Hurricane?

[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?

[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Will data storage with DNA be in use by 2035?

Will we learn by 2026 that a human had been artificially cloned as of September 2023?