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Prediction markets for First
Prediction markets for First
Will Joe Biden get impeached in his first term?
Jun 15, 7:13 PM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
8.98%
chance
1066
481133
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8764
4053
When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?
Sep 20, 2:31 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
38.03%
chance
37
3734
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1028
869
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
64.69%
chance
144
10765
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10023
9931
Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?
Jul 27, 5:17 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
34.98%
chance
10
142
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1035
976
TikTok Ban Endgame: Which will happen first?
Mar 13, 6:17 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
140
21613
Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?
Jul 26, 2:17 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
4.22%
chance
139
89315
Option
Votes
YES
NO
32920
629
What Event Will Happen First: Jimmy Carter Passes OR A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Hamas Ceasefire? [Unlinked Market]
May 12, 5:41 AM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
105
13340
Which segment comes first twice in a row?
Jul 2, 11:08 PM
Jul 9, 11:09 PM
3
2494
The first human brain upload able to remember a password will occur by ... ?
Nov 5, 11:49 PM
Nov 23, 10:59 PM
23
1799
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Feb 22, 9:47 AM
Oct 21, 2:59 AM
46
1045
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Biden Re-elected
May 14, 3:48 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
49
4291
In which decade will the prime factors of RSA-2048 first be known?
Jul 27, 10:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
2
60
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