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Prediction markets for Find

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

31.37%chance

5510299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11492

10773

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Sep 21, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.91%chance

211534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

913

Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?

Sep 14, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.45%chance

7421404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2037

1590

Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?

Jan 10, 3:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.39%chance

28317587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2534

1979

Will I find an internship for 2025? (1.6K subsidy and growing)

May 13, 10:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.02%chance

12632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1704

1527

Will I (Aella) find someone to seriously date by the end of 2029?

May 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

73.7%chance

1076757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1730

1487

Will we find that Anthropic has routinely required (ex-)employees to sign non-disparagement agreements?

May 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.41%chance

131744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

827

[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?

Apr 23, 1:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.47%chance

221921

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

797

Will Mr. Girl/Lav find their way back into Destiny’s orbit?

Jan 24, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.06%chance

10319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

977

Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?

Dec 26, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

65.91%chance

661980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1302

897

If I find a violation of universal free fall, will I come up with a promising tentative explanation?

Jan 4, 3:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.62%chance

15233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

951

Will the EU find Apple's App Store changes non-compliant with the DMA?

Feb 22, 11:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.81%chance

17338

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NO

YES

1132

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Flowty's 2023 Raffle Offers 5,000 FLOW Grand Prize, Free Tickets, and NFT Rewards
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