Film News

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market, $1000M subsidy)

Jul 2, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55%chance

16447784

OptionVotes

YES

3952

2742

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

Mar 28, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.83%chance

10027192

OptionVotes

YES

3723

1183

In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?

Jul 10, 6:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.26%chance

182157

OptionVotes

YES

977

970

Will Apple acquire a major film studio by the end of 2024?

Aug 17, 1:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.65%chance

634480

OptionVotes

YES

2052

547

Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?

Feb 16, 4:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.1%chance

171055

OptionVotes

YES

1073

922

Will the highest grossing domestic film of 2024 begin with a “D”?

Feb 22, 3:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.52%chance

171920

OptionVotes

YES

1960

262

Will Joel Haver make 12 films in 12 months?

Jun 27, 7:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53.25%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

1067

937

Will there be a sequel to the 2004 comedy film Soul Plane before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 3, 2:21 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

29.44%chance

19158

OptionVotes

YES

1030

979

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

Jan 17, 5:10 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

28.8%chance

11126

OptionVotes

YES

1043

975

AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025

Sep 23, 10:43 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

70.68%chance

8621416

OptionVotes

YES

1082

958

Alex Garland claims he will quit directing after "Civil War". Will he direct another film before the end of the decade?

Apr 1, 1:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.71%chance

13154

OptionVotes

YES

1006

992

New film in the Terminator film franchise officially announced by end of October 2024?

Jan 1, 2:50 AMNov 2, 6:59 AM

25.65%chance

15417

OptionVotes

YES

1073

956

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Film News

Prediction markets for Film

Prediction markets for Film

Prediction markets for Film

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market, $1000M subsidy)

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?

Will Apple acquire a major film studio by the end of 2024?

Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?

Will the highest grossing domestic film of 2024 begin with a “D”?

Will Joel Haver make 12 films in 12 months?

Will there be a sequel to the 2004 comedy film Soul Plane before Jan 1st 2030?

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025

Alex Garland claims he will quit directing after "Civil War". Will he direct another film before the end of the decade?

New film in the Terminator film franchise officially announced by end of October 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Film

Prediction markets for Film

Prediction markets for Film

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market, $1000M subsidy)

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?

Will Apple acquire a major film studio by the end of 2024?

Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?

Will the highest grossing domestic film of 2024 begin with a “D”?

Will Joel Haver make 12 films in 12 months?