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Prediction markets for Federal Election

Will Trump win the US election if he has been convicted of a crime in his January 6th Federal Trial? [10k Subsidy]

Feb 21, 5:55 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

46.64%chance

12643113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13174

8454

In the Australian federal election for the 48th Parliament of Australia, will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of the seats in the House of Representatives?

Jan 27, 2:07 PMOct 25, 1:29 PM

48.94%chance

6027182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

748

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

Jun 9, 10:27 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

48.78%chance

6821884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

792

Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?

Jun 9, 1:37 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

5.01%chance

16733895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5718

213

Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?

Dec 2, 1:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.59%chance

492567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

1188

Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?

Sep 9, 2:55 AMOct 22, 6:59 AM

69.38%chance

201264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1632

391

Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?

Oct 9, 6:28 AMOct 20, 9:59 PM

59.55%chance

212370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

583

Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?

Jun 28, 10:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.05%chance

16429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

945

Will Canada call for an early federal election before the 2025 election?

Nov 6, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.49%chance

13715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

888

Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.17%chance

482307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

891

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official at the state or federal level in the US before 2029?

Jul 5, 2:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.41%chance

563581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

856

Will Olaf Scholz remain chancellor of Germany after the next federal election?

Sep 1, 8:46 PMOct 26, 10:59 PM

19.57%chance

261373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

903

Articles

Latest stories

Conservatives Lead Liberals 41% to 26% in Canadian Federal Poll
Authors
5
3 months
Canada
World

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