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Fear News
Prediction markets for Fear
Prediction markets for Fear
Will anyone commit suicide due to fears of anti-aligned AI before 2030?
Mar 25, 3:29 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
86.17%
chance
119
7389
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2334
1844
Will "From fear to excitement" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Jun 3, 11:44 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
🪙😱Will Cryptocurrency Hit "Fear" On The 'Fear & Greed Index' During 2024?
Feb 11, 9:04 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
60.33%
chance
6
130
Option
Votes
NO
YES
183
118
How many months until the first human commits suicide due to fears from AI?
May 27, 11:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
5.65%
chance
3
46
Option
Votes
YES
NO
330
309
Should we fear the reaper?
Jan 9, 4:41 AM
21
0
I'm starting to fear the super AI network, are you ?
Jan 17, 1:33 PM
105
0
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
What is more likely to happen in the russian invasion of Ukraine by 2027
Dec 20, 1:43 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
16
612
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3794
Which songs will be covered for Joker: Folie à Deux?
Mar 22, 10:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18
2207
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
Apr 19, 7:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.37%
chance
95
9592
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1993
1938
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