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Prediction markets for FARA
Prediction markets for FARA
[Metaculus] Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election?
Jun 24, 4:19 AM
Jul 6, 11:00 AM
81.92%
chance
6
1153
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2129
470
Will Alyssa Farah run for any office in 2024?
Apr 16, 3:35 AM
Dec 23, 4:59 AM
16%
chance
16
951
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1179
929
UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak debate Nigel Farage?
May 28, 11:19 AM
Jul 5, 10:59 PM
4%
chance
28
6818
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4899
204
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Oct 27, 2:21 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
17.29%
chance
16
736
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
765
Will Nigel Farage be made a life peer?
Jan 29, 8:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.11%
chance
9
426
Option
Votes
YES
NO
600
117
UK General Election 2024 - Where will Nigel Farage finish in Clacton?
Jun 3, 3:28 PM
Jul 6, 10:59 PM
60
10679
Does there exist at least 1 pair of humans which can telepathically communicate through a faraday cage?
Mar 27, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
5.46%
chance
5
365
Option
Votes
YES
NO
525
81
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