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Fake News News
Prediction markets for Fake News
Prediction markets for Fake News
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
169983
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
What 2+ word phrase will Donald Trump use at least once until Jan 21, 2025? [your answers]
Mar 2, 10:21 PM
Jan 22, 9:59 PM
50
7262
BR Congress 2024-2026 Mega-market: Which of these proposals will the Brazilian Congress approve before the end of 2026?
Jun 23, 6:58 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
1
2255
Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035
Nov 30, 10:02 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
17.41%
chance
51
8584
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3705
3281
AI voice synthesis will be used to fabricate dirt on a political opponent in the 2024 US presidential election
Apr 6, 12:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.68%
chance
13
566
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1021
985
Will China fake their first "lunar landing"?
Apr 30, 1:05 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
8.75%
chance
10
460
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1454
888
Putin explicitly claims a video clip is fake that Western media claim is real before EOY 2024
Mar 29, 6:13 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
48.58%
chance
9
155
Option
Votes
NO
YES
231
205
Will the "Choquei" Instagram page have at least 20M followers at the end of 2024?
Dec 28, 4:48 AM
Jan 2, 2:59 AM
73.48%
chance
4
36
Option
Votes
NO
YES
124
70
Will a Presidential Candidate Call for an End to Anonymous Online Posting by November 5th, 2024? [Resolves based on LLM]
Mar 14, 8:04 PM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
18.23%
chance
6
224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
411
213
When will Putin die?
Jun 28, 7:44 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
16
991
Will Raphael Sousa, owner of the "Choquei" page, go to jail by 2025?
Dec 28, 4:38 AM
Jan 2, 2:59 AM
49.01%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
YES
NO
51
49
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