FAIR News

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Jul 2, 11:10 AMFeb 16, 1:48 PM

14033781

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Feb 13, 8:46 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

84.04%chance

5910168

OptionVotes

YES

2154

1700

Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

Apr 21, 1:37 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

35.42%chance

703562

OptionVotes

YES

1214

1049

Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?

Dec 14, 3:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.34%chance

393073

OptionVotes

YES

1125

704

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

Jun 30, 7:11 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

77.88%chance

191487

OptionVotes

YES

1876

533

Will FAIR's research on LLMs still be open through 2024?

Mar 17, 1:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.73%chance

13137

OptionVotes

YES

1016

986

Will Homelander ever win a fair fight against another supe (not winning via surprise attack)?

Jan 27, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will the FAIR act of 2023 be enacted?

Nov 1, 4:52 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

12.89%chance

4248

OptionVotes

YES

243

If go is solved by 2040, what will a fair komi be for white?

Nov 30, 2:54 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

29.26%chance

31898

OptionVotes

YES

360

286

Will anyone ask Faire if she made her hat?

Jun 19, 6:17 AMJul 4, 6:59 AM

5.37%chance

9775

OptionVotes

YES

420

If tech company Faire goes public before 2026, will its value 6 months after IPO be at least US$13 billion?

May 22, 3:42 AMJul 1, 4:00 AM

43.83%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

180

157

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?

Jun 11, 1:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.15%chance

4358

OptionVotes

YES

215

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Prediction markets for FAIR

Prediction markets for FAIR

Prediction markets for FAIR

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

Will FAIR's research on LLMs still be open through 2024?

Will Homelander ever win a fair fight against another supe (not winning via surprise attack)?

Will the FAIR act of 2023 be enacted?

If go is solved by 2040, what will a fair komi be for white?

Will anyone ask Faire if she made her hat?

If tech company Faire goes public before 2026, will its value 6 months after IPO be at least US$13 billion?

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for FAIR

Prediction markets for FAIR

Prediction markets for FAIR

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

Will FAIR's research on LLMs still be open through 2024?

Will Homelander ever win a fair fight against another supe (not winning via surprise attack)?