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Extraction News
Prediction markets for Extraction
Prediction markets for Extraction
Will researchers extract a novel program from the weights of an LLM into a Procedural/OO programming language by 2026?
Apr 22, 4:06 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
26.15%
chance
10
144
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1098
945
Will someone (who isn't google) extract & open-source the Gemini Nano weights by the end of 2024?
Dec 8, 6:19 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
52.75%
chance
20
1481
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1188
768
Will humans have developed the infrastructure to extract rare elements from sources outside of Earth by the year 2200?
Jan 25, 2:24 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
92.23%
chance
23
1069
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1462
914
Will GPT/Bard/Claude organically extract mortality rate doubling time (MRDT) from lifespan curves data by EOY 2024?
Dec 10, 12:51 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
Will one of the characters in amazing digital circus get extracted until the end of 2024?
May 5, 6:03 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
43.26%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
87
Will AI/foundation models be able to extract the exponential parameter alpha of an exponential plot by EOY 2025?
Jan 17, 10:28 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
64.3%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
75
Will GPT/LLMs auto-extract gompertz slope alpha inputting a plot of survivors vs age by EOY 2024
Dec 7, 9:11 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
80
62
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
199
80893
In planecrash, what was the fourth Major Curse placed on Abrogail?
Dec 7, 5:58 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
19
1852
I need a solution to my excessive nervousness
Feb 14, 3:55 AM
Dec 31, 3:52 AM
21
356
What will be true about asteroid mining by end of 2060?
Jun 8, 8:42 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
13
2375
If Worldcoin has a serious data security breach before July 2024, what will the cause be?
Jul 31, 3:29 AM
Aug 2, 6:59 AM
5
279
Articles
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Sam Hargrave to Direct 'Kill Them All' Graphic Novel Adaptation for Paramount
Authors
4
5 months
Culture
Netflix Plans 'Wednesday' Spin-Off; Concerns Over Uncle Fester Show Potential Without Jenna Ortega
Authors
9
7 months
Culture
Netflix Explores Licensing a Grand Theft Auto Title for Its Gaming Expansion
Authors
5
9 months
Tech
Netflix Expanding Gaming Push with Plans to License Grand Theft Auto Title: Sources
Authors
12
9 months
Tech
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